What it is
Treating the absence of a record as proof that the event did not occur.
In the wild
No record mentions it, so it never happened.
How to answer it
Ask whether a record would have been expected to exist and survive.
A field guide to the ways reasoning breaks
Evidence and sampling
Also called Argumentum ex silentio
Treating the absence of a record as proof that the event did not occur.
No record mentions it, so it never happened.
Ask whether a record would have been expected to exist and survive.
Latin: 'argumentum ex silentio' — argument from silence. Long used in classical scholarship and biblical studies to describe inferring that an author did not know something because they never mention it. It turns up wherever the gaps in archives are mistaken for gaps in history.
HR concludes the harassment complaint 'can't have happened' because there is no email trail — in a company where most conversations happen in hallways.
A commentator argues the ancient city never traded with its neighbours because no surviving tablet lists the goods, ignoring that almost no tablets survived at all.
A manager assumes a departing employee had no issues because their exit interview form was blank — the meeting was cancelled when they dropped off their badge.
A social-media thread insists a politician 'never condemned' an event because no tweet exists, though the condemnation ran in a radio interview that was never transcribed.