fallacy.wiki

A field guide to the ways reasoning breaks

False choices and ranges

Slippery slope

Also called Camel's nose, domino fallacy

What it is

Claiming one small step must lead to an extreme outcome, without defending the links.

In the wild

Allow remote Fridays and no one will ever come in again.

How to answer it

Ask for the probability of each link in the chain, then multiply them.

In depth

Origin and naming

The image is classical: Cicero has Laelius warn that affairs, once started, glide readily down the path of ruin. In modern logic Alfred Sidgwick described it in 1910 as the 'thin end of a wedge' objection, and English-language debate has kept the slope picture ever since — lawyers prefer a 'parade of horribles', politicians a 'camel's nose in the tent'.

More places it shows up

  1. If we let the intern present to the client today, next year interns will be running whole accounts.

  2. If the city approves one food truck on this street, the block will turn into a permanent market.

  3. Let them move one deadline and soon no date in the calendar will mean anything.

  4. Allow one chart to skip review and the whole data culture collapses into guesswork.

How to spot it

  • The argument jumps from the first step to the last without ever pricing the middle steps.
  • Each 'and then' is treated as obvious; nobody says how probable any link actually is.
  • The endpoint is much scarier than the proposal on the table, which is the point of choosing it.

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